रिझर्व्ह बँक ऑफ इंडिया (RBI) च्या चलनविषयक धोरण समितीची (MPC) बैठक 6 ते 8 फेब्रुवारी 2024 दरम्यान होणार आहे. या बैठकीत व्याज दर निश्चित केले जातील. देशभरातील अनेक लोक, जे दर महिन्याला कर्ज आणि ईएमआय भरतात, ते व्याज दरात कपात होण्याची आशा बाळगत आहेत.
काय आहे अपेक्षा? RBI
- SBI च्या रिसर्च रिपोर्टनुसार, फेब्रुवारीच्या बैठकीत रेपो दरात कपात होण्याची शक्यता कमी आहे.
- रेपो दर हा आरबीआय इतर बँकांना देतो तो व्याज दर आहे.
- डिसेंबर 2023 मधील बैठकीत रेपो दर 6.5% वर स्थिर ठेवण्यात आला होता.
कधी होईल रेपो दरात कपात? RBI
- SBI च्या रिपोर्टनुसार, जून 2024 मध्ये येत्या आर्थिक वर्षात पहिल्यांदा रेपो दरात कपात होऊ शकते.
- गेल्या वर्षी फेब्रुवारी 2023 मध्ये आरबीआयने रेपो दरात 0.25% ची वाढ केली होती.
- तेव्हापासून 5 बैठका झाल्या आहेत, पण रेपो दरात कोणताही बदल झालेला नाही.
इतर मुद्दे:
- बैठकीत महागाई आणि आर्थिक वाढीचा अंदाजही लावण्यात येईल.
- RBI गव्हर्नर शक्तिकांत दास 8 फेब्रुवारी रोजी सकाळी 10 वाजता व्याज दराबाबत निर्णय जाहीर करतील.
ईएमआय कमी होण्याची शक्यता काय आहे?
- रेपो दर: आरबीआय रेपो दर कमी करण्याचा निर्णय घेतल्यास, बँकांना मिळणाऱ्या कर्जावरील व्याज कमी होईल. परिणामी, बँका ग्राहकांना कमी व्याजदरात कर्ज देऊ शकतील, ज्यामुळे ईएमआय कमी होण्यास मदत होईल.
- महंगाई: सध्या देशात महंगाईचा दर नियंत्रणात आहे. जर महंगाईचा दर पुढील काही महिन्यांत कमी राहिला तर आरबीआय रेपो दर कमी करण्याची शक्यता आहे.
तथापि, काही अडथळे देखील आहेत:
- जागतिक अर्थव्यवस्था: जागतिक अर्थव्यवस्थेतील अनिश्चिततेमुळे आरबीआय रेपो दर कमी करण्यास सावधगिरी बाळगू शकते.
- अमेरिकेतील व्याज दर: अमेरिकेची फेडरल रिझर्व्ह बँक व्याज दर वाढवत आहे, ज्यामुळे भारतात व्याज दर वाढण्याची शक्यता आहे.
आरबीआय 8 फेब्रुवारी 2024 रोजी सकाळी 10 वाजता व्याजदराबाबतचा निर्णय जाहीर करेल.
आरबीआय काय निर्णय घेणार?
आरबीआय गव्हर्नर शक्तिकांत दास यांच्या अध्यक्षतेखाली होणाऱ्या या बैठकीत एमपीसी सदस्य व्याजदर आणि रेपो रेटवर विचारविनिमय करतील. सध्या रेपो रेट 6.5% आहे.
एसबीआयचा अंदाज
एसबीआयच्या अलीकडील संशोधन अहवालानुसार, फेब्रुवारीच्या बैठकीत रेपो रेटमध्ये बदल होण्याची शक्यता नाही. मात्र, येत्या आर्थिक वर्षात, जून 2024 मध्ये रेपो रेटमध्ये पहिली कपात होण्याची शक्यता आहे.
गेल्या वर्षी काय झाले?
आरबीआयने गेल्या वर्षी फेब्रुवारी 2023 मध्ये रेपो रेटमध्ये 0.25% वाढ करून 6.5% पर्यंत नेला होता. त्यानंतर डिसेंबर 2023 मध्ये झालेल्या बैठकीत रेपो रेटमध्ये कोणताही बदल करण्यात आला नाही.
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